India’s soybean production is projected to decline by 2.1% to 107.93 lakh tonnes in the 2026 kharif season, despite a nearly 5% increase in sown area, according to the Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA). Prolonged dry spells and inadequate soil moisture in key producing states have affected crop yields.
SOPA’s first production estimate compares with 110.26 lakh tonnes in the previous season. Soybean acreage increased from 112.14 lakh hectares in 2025 to 117.73 lakh hectares in 2026. However, crop damage reduced the estimated harvested area to 109.98 lakh hectares, highlighting the impact of adverse weather conditions.
Regional Production Trends
Maharashtra is expected to record a 33.2% decline in production to 34.88 lakh tonnes, compared with 52.23 lakh tonnes last year. Karnataka and Telangana are also projected to see substantial declines of 43.6% and 46.1%, respectively.
In contrast, Madhya Pradesh, India’s largest soybean-producing state, is expected to increase output by 32.2% to 57.16 lakh tonnes. Rajasthan’s production is projected to rise by 48.2% to 9.47 lakh tonnes, partially offsetting losses elsewhere.
Drought Concerns
Dry conditions and inadequate soil moisture during critical crop-growth stages have contributed to production losses, particularly in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Telangana. Maharashtra reported 305 drought-affected talukas in October, while Karnataka also expanded its drought-affected areas through successive government notifications.
The lower production estimate could influence domestic soybean and soybean meal availability, with implications for poultry and livestock feed manufacturers. However, the final impact will depend on actual harvest outcomes, processing demand and market arrivals.
