Page 30 - Think Grain Thin Feed Oct 2025
P. 30

www.benisonmedia.com  POLICY UPDATE                                         Think Grain Think Feed - Volume 11 | Issue 12 | Oct 2025




            Ethanol Policy and Its Impact


            on Soybean Farmers




            Authors: Siraj Hussain, former Union Agriculture Secretary & Garima Jain, Commodity Expert
                                                                feedstock and the rest from   2024–25, adding 5.15 million
                                                                food grains. However, by the   tonnes of new protein feed
                                                                Ethanol Supply Year (ESY)   to the market.
                                                                2024–25, this ratio is    Soybean Market Under
                                                                expected to reverse. Of the
                                                                                          Pressure
                                                                10.77 billion litres of ethanol
                                                                                          Before the ethanol boom,
                                                                contracted by public sector
                                                                                          the main source of livestock
                                                                oil marketing companies
                                                                                          protein was de-oiled cakes
                                                                (OMCs), about 3.5 billion
                                                                                          (DOCs) from oilseeds like
                                                                litres (32%) will come from
                                                                                          soybean, mustard, and
                                                                sugarcane and 7.3 billion
                                                                                          groundnut. Soybean meal,
                                                                litres (68%) from food grains.
                                                                                          with 40–45% protein, was the
                                                                Corn Takes the Lead
                                                                                          preferred poultry and cattle
                                                                Corn alone will contribute
                                                                                          feed and a major export.
                                                                around 5 billion litres (46%)
                                                                                          Now, cheaper DDGS—priced
                                                                of ethanol, consuming 13.1
                                                                                          at INR 15,500–20,000 per
                                                                million tonnes of the nation's
                                                                                          tonne versus INR
                                                                42 million tonnes of corn
                                                                                          31,000–32,000 for soybean
                                                                production. Additionally, 1.2
                                      The National Policy on                              meal—has displaced
                                                                billion litres will come from
                                      Biofuels (NPB), announced                           soybean DOC.
                                                                rice supplied by the Food
                                      by the Ministry of Petroleum                        Consequently, soybean
                                                                Corporation of India (FCI) at
                                      and Natural Gas in June 2018                        prices have dropped below
                                                                INR 22.50/kg, though its
                                      and amended in June 2022,                           the MSP of INR 4,892 per
                                                                economic cost is INR
                                      targeted 20% ethanol                                quintal, with market rates
                                                                4,173/quintal. The
                                      blending with petrol (E20) by                       between INR 3,200–4,200 in
                                                                government has allocated
                                      2030. Subsequently, in June                         2023–25. The MSP for
                                                                5.2 million tonnes of rice for
                                      2021, NITI Aayog released its                       2025–26 is INR 5,328, yet
                                                                ethanol manufacture,
                                      2020–25 roadmap for
                                                                entailing a subsidy of    farmers expect less. The area
                                      ethanol blending, prepared
                                                                roughly INR 10,000 crore.  under soybean has declined
                                      under Dr. Rakesh Sarwal,                            from 12.7 to 12 million ha,
                                                                Rise of DDGS: The By-
                                      Additional Secretary, NITI                          while maize cultivation has
                                                                Product Changing Markets
                                      Aayog. Few could have                               expanded from 7.9 to 9.5
                                                                A key by-product of ethanol
                                      predicted that a small by-                          million ha due to higher
                                                                production from maize and
                                      product of ethanol                                  demand from distilleries.
                                                                rice is Distiller's Dried Grains
                                      production would later                              Experts at Globoil India
                                      disrupt agricultural markets   with Solubles (DDGS)—a   emphasized that
                                      and severely impact soybean   protein-rich feed ingredient.
                                      farmers.                  DDGS from maize contains   government policy should
                                                                28–30% protein, while that   incentivize protein crops to
                                      Sources of Ethanol: Grains
                                                                from rice has about 45%.   reduce pulse imports and
                                      Surpass Sugarcane
                                                                India is projected to produce   ensure food security takes
                                      NITI Aayog initially projected
                                                                3.9 million tonnes of maize   precedence over mobility
                                      that 54% of ethanol would
                                                                DDGS and 1.25 million     security.
                                      come from sugarcane-based
                                                                tonnes of rice DDGS in    Source: Money Control
      30
   25   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34   35